A new approach to optimizing or hedging a portfolio of financial positions is presented and tested with applications to energy market. Motivated by uncertainty in the estimation of problem data we consider robust bi-objective optimization problems with mean and conditional value-at-risk objective functions where the underlying probability distribution of portfolio return is only known to belong to a certain set. To tackle the problem of uncertainty we consider two different approaches: in the first one, uncertainty is represented by an elliptic set centered at the sample estimators of mean and covariance matrix; in the second one, uncertainty takes into account experts beliefs. For both approaches, we derive analytical semi-closed-form solutions for the worst case mean-CVaR portfolio; in addition, we provide a characterization of the location of the robust Pareto frontier with respect to the corresponding original Pareto frontier.

Robust bi-objective mean-CVaR portfolio selection: Applications to energy sector

Molho Elena
2025-01-01

Abstract

A new approach to optimizing or hedging a portfolio of financial positions is presented and tested with applications to energy market. Motivated by uncertainty in the estimation of problem data we consider robust bi-objective optimization problems with mean and conditional value-at-risk objective functions where the underlying probability distribution of portfolio return is only known to belong to a certain set. To tackle the problem of uncertainty we consider two different approaches: in the first one, uncertainty is represented by an elliptic set centered at the sample estimators of mean and covariance matrix; in the second one, uncertainty takes into account experts beliefs. For both approaches, we derive analytical semi-closed-form solutions for the worst case mean-CVaR portfolio; in addition, we provide a characterization of the location of the robust Pareto frontier with respect to the corresponding original Pareto frontier.
File in questo prodotto:
Non ci sono file associati a questo prodotto.

I documenti in IRIS sono protetti da copyright e tutti i diritti sono riservati, salvo diversa indicazione.

Utilizza questo identificativo per citare o creare un link a questo documento: https://hdl.handle.net/11571/1533576
Citazioni
  • ???jsp.display-item.citation.pmc??? ND
  • Scopus 0
  • ???jsp.display-item.citation.isi??? 0
social impact